Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.065886 0.071151 0.076465 0.082224 0.088281 0.094455 0.101217
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.056415 0.064105 0.072136 0.081121 0.090865 0.101085 0.112587
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.049717 0.059182 0.069374 0.081100 0.094153 0.108175 0.124311
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.044288 0.055060 0.066990 0.081067 0.097102 0.114685 0.135306
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.041582 0.053681 0.067411 0.083956 0.103166 0.124585 0.150088
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.038518 0.051574 0.066737 0.085376 0.107400 0.132334 0.162428
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.035740 0.049550 0.065943 0.086469 0.111115 0.139404 0.173964
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.032515 0.046717 0.063953 0.085935 0.112749 0.143939 0.182490
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.030514 0.045257 0.063502 0.087146 0.116380 0.150769 0.193692
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027921 0.042844 0.061698 0.086541 0.117688 0.154752 0.201471
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026027 0.041214 0.060770 0.086927 0.120133 0.160049 0.210801
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024767 0.040346 0.060748 0.088402 0.123888 0.166921 0.222043
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024499 0.040863 0.062596 0.092375 0.130924 0.178002 0.238663
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021834 0.037847 0.059599 0.089921 0.129720 0.178862 0.242767
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020024 0.035938 0.057995 0.089214 0.130684 0.182377 0.250128
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018468 0.034297 0.056672 0.088804 0.131975 0.186271 0.257955
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018083 0.034394 0.057770 0.091674 0.137581 0.195665 0.272730
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017271 0.033779 0.057811 0.093068 0.141227 0.202575 0.284420
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016430 0.033061 0.057661 0.094165 0.144462 0.208964 0.295482
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015174 0.031592 0.056341 0.093563 0.145370 0.212324 0.302689
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014510 0.031049 0.056360 0.094829 0.148796 0.218959 0.314109
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.013400 0.029683 0.055076 0.094176 0.149562 0.222095 0.321031
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.012628 0.028843 0.054549 0.094580 0.151757 0.227100 0.330374